Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.035813 0.038645 0.041614 0.044965 0.048647 0.052573 0.057087
2025-04-13 0.031598 0.035655 0.040143 0.045498 0.051737 0.058806 0.067465
2025-04-20 0.028486 0.033226 0.038687 0.045483 0.053771 0.063619 0.076314
2025-04-27 0.026489 0.031742 0.037997 0.046059 0.056273 0.068914 0.085948
2025-05-04 0.024536 0.030062 0.036823 0.045799 0.057545 0.072597 0.093675
2025-05-11 0.022963 0.028685 0.035855 0.045625 0.058786 0.076190 0.101435
2025-05-18 0.021580 0.027424 0.034904 0.045336 0.059762 0.079392 0.108809
2025-05-25 0.020452 0.026401 0.034165 0.045229 0.060908 0.082827 0.116705
2025-06-01 0.019252 0.025197 0.033090 0.044555 0.061160 0.084946 0.122759
2025-06-08 0.018109 0.023997 0.031936 0.043671 0.061010 0.086411 0.127863
2025-06-15 0.017225 0.023100 0.031142 0.043231 0.061447 0.088728 0.134423
2025-06-22 0.016434 0.022287 0.030413 0.042826 0.061880 0.091028 0.141091
2025-06-29 0.015553 0.021311 0.029409 0.041964 0.061573 0.092170 0.145987
2025-07-06 0.015126 0.020966 0.029298 0.042434 0.063355 0.096746 0.157102
2025-07-13 0.014596 0.020441 0.028892 0.042416 0.064344 0.100076 0.166316
2025-07-20 0.014250 0.020169 0.028843 0.042944 0.066234 0.105018 0.178863
2025-07-27 0.013732 0.019615 0.028335 0.042705 0.066826 0.107767 0.187581
2025-08-03 0.013269 0.019122 0.027896 0.042545 0.067529 0.110737 0.196965
2025-08-10 0.012812 0.018616 0.027411 0.042279 0.068022 0.113348 0.205871
2025-08-17 0.012421 0.018197 0.027042 0.042181 0.068791 0.116499 0.216137
2025-08-24 0.011937 0.017613 0.026384 0.041561 0.068590 0.117822 0.222749
2025-08-31 0.011440 0.016989 0.025637 0.040748 0.067989 0.118341 0.227695
2025-09-07 0.011057 0.016533 0.025141 0.040343 0.068104 0.120228 0.235750